Tropical Sea Temperatures
Visit Weather Underground Tropical Weather Center
Current Atlantic Satellite Loop
Current Pacific Satellite Loop
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261758 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Zeta, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Summary for Hurricane Zeta (AT3/AL282020)
...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... As of 4:00 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 the center of Zeta was located near 19.5, -86.0 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 981 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Hurricane Zeta Public Advisory Number 9
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 262041 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Zeta Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 ...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 86.0W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to Navarre, Florida, including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida, and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City. The government of Cuba has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Pinar del Rio. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tulum to Dzilam Mexico * Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * South of Tulum to Punta Allen Mexico * West of Dzilam to Progreso Mexico A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Intracoastal City Louisiana to Navarre Florida * Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Morgan City Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida * West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 12 to 24 hours. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Zeta was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 86.0 West. Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the north Tuesday night. A faster northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over the northern Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the watch area on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible before Zeta makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening is likely while Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight and early Tuesday. Zeta is forecast to strengthen again when it moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday and be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL including Lake Borgne...4-6 ft Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA including Vermilion Bay...2-4 ft Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL including Mobile Bay and Pensacola Bay...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL including Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba. An initial area of heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf Coast Tuesday night, spreading north into the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday. The core of the heavy rains associated with Zeta will push northeast from eastern Louisiana across southern Mississippi, Alabama and northern Georgia through Wednesday night, and through the southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in Mexico this evening. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Hurricane Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 9
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 262041 TCMAT3 HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN... VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PINAR DEL RIO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN MEXICO * WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO MEXICO A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA * LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 85.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 87.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.1N 89.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.2N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.8N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 30.8N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 42.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 86.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Hurricane Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 9
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 262049 TCDAT3 Hurricane Zeta Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 The cloud pattern of Zeta became better organized today, with deep convection forming over and around the center and some banding features developing. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters recently found surface winds to near 70 kt over the inner northeastern quadrant of the circulation and a central pressure of around 981 mb, signifying that the system had become a hurricane. Given the increased organization over very warm waters, some additional strengthening is possible before the center crosses the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. Some weakening should occur while Zeta interacts with land tonight and early Tuesday. Once the center moves into the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow, atmospheric and oceanic conditions are conducive for some re-strengthening. When Zeta moves over the northern Gulf of Mexico later on Wednesday, cooler shelf waters and some increase in southwesterly shear should halt the intensification process, with some weakening possible by the time the center reaches the northern Gulf Coast, but Zeta is still expected to be at or near hurricane intensity at landfall. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and is near or above the model consensus. The hurricane continues to move on a generally northwestward track, or at about 305/10 kt. There are basically no changes to the track forecast reasoning, or to the forecast itself. For the next couple of days, Zeta should move around the southwestern and western periphery of a mid-level high pressure area centered just east of Florida. Thereafter, a shortwave trough approaching from the west is likely to cause the cyclone to accelerate north-northeastward to northeastward and move over the southeastern and eastern United States. The system should move off the northeast U.S. coast and become an extratropical cyclone within the next 4 days. The guidance has come into better agreement since yesterday, and the official track forecast is very close to the corrected model consensus, HCCA. Storm Surge, Hurricane, and Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for a portion of the northern U.S. Gulf Coast. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico this evening through early Tuesday. Through Tuesday, heavy rainfall is expected across the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba, which could lead to flash flooding in urban areas. 2. Hurricane conditions and life-threatening storm surge are possible along portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday, and Storm Surge and Hurricane Watches are in effect. Residents in the watch areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, heavy rainfall is expected from portions of the central Gulf Coast into the southern Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta. This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 19.5N 86.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 27/0600Z 20.5N 87.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 27/1800Z 22.1N 89.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 28/0600Z 24.2N 91.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 28/1800Z 26.8N 91.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 29/0600Z 30.8N 88.9W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 72H 29/1800Z 35.0N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 30/1800Z 42.0N 68.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Hurricane Zeta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020
000
FONT13 KNHC 262041
PWSAT3
HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19)
ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 1(37) X(37)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22)
BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 1(39) X(39)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 47(48) X(48) X(48)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) X(36) X(36)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 54(56) X(56) X(56)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 54(57) X(57) X(57)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) X(54) X(54)
STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 56(63) X(63) X(63)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 34(63) X(63) X(63)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 44(49) X(49) X(49)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 21(75) X(75) X(75)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 21(41) X(41) X(41)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) X(27) X(27)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 30(37) X(37) X(37)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) X(19)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MERIDA MX 34 8 43(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
MERIDA MX 50 2 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MERIDA MX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COZUMEL MX 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
COZUMEL MX 64 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
BELIZE CITY 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ISLE OF PINES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 48(51) X(51) X(51)
PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14)
PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 56(63) X(63) X(63)
KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27)
KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Hurricane Zeta Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 20:44:01 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 21:25:39 GMT
Hurricane Zeta Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 21:14:04 GMT
Hurricane Zeta Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 21:49:20 GMT
Hurricane Zeta Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 20:51:27 GMT
Local Statement for Lake Charles, LA
Issued at 415 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020
Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL
Issued at 434 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020
Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA
Issued at 448 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 261718 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 26 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 26 Oct 2020 21:48:49 GMT